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What this means for Democrats in the age of Trump

What this means for Democrats in the age of Trump


Zohran Mamdani defeated former state governor Andrew Cuomo on Tuesday in the New York mayoral elections that became as much a referendum on the Democratic Party’s future as it was about governing the United States’ largest city.

Thirty four-year-old Mamdani, the first Muslim and South Asian to be elected as the city’s mayor, won 50.6% of the vote to Cuomo’s 41.2%.

The result comes at a moment when the Democratic party faces its most acute crisis in a generation, steadily losing registered voters across the United States while struggling to articulate a coherent response to US President Donald Trump’s authoritarian actions.

The New York mayoral race became a clash of two very different Democrats. On one the progressive side was Zohran Mamdani, a 34-year-old democratic socialist state assemblyman whose grassroots campaign drew international attention. On the other was Andrew Cuomo, disgraced by a sexual harassment scandal and running as an independent with backing from billionaire donors and major corporations after failing to win the party’s nomination.

In recent weeks, the race has become a bitter and personal face-off with racist and Islamophobic attacks against Mamdani. It could have major implications for how the Democratic party performs in next year’s midterm elections for the US House of Representatives and some seats in the upper house or Senate.

The national context makes Mamdani’s win all the more remarkable. Between 2020 and 2024, Democrats lost ground to Republicans in all 30 states that track voter registration by party. In the United States, unlike in India, voters must formally register their party affiliation when they sign up to vote. This registration data serves as a key indicator of party strength, and an analysis by The New York Times in August showed a net swing of 4.5 million voters away from Democrats in this period.

Yet in New York, Mamdani’s campaign has helped register 146,000 new Democratic voters since February.

The success of his campaign suggests that a message focused squarely on economic justice – freezing rent, universal childcare, free public transit – can mobilise voters when much of the party’s national leadership offers little beyond cautious opposition to Trump.

While opinion polls consistently showed strong support for Mamdani among the party’s base after he won the June Democratic primary (the first stage of the election where Democrats elected their nominee), most of the party’s powerful figures refused to back him. New York Governor Kathy Hochul remained neutral. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, the top Democrat in the upper house of Congress, never endorsed Mamdani. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, his counterpart in the lower house, waited until the day before early voting began to offer support.

Support did come from the party’s left flank. Senator Bernie Sanders – the independent democratic socialist who ran for the Democratic party’s presidential nomination in 2016 and 2020 – and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez headlined a rally with Mamdani in October that drew thousands of people.

In a video released on the eve of the election, Sanders framed Mamdani’s candidacy as having implications far beyond New York. “Because all over the world and throughout our country, people are asking a very simple question: is it possible for a candidate to take on the oligarchs in New York, take on the President of the United States, take on the Republican establishment, take on the Democratic establishment, and win an election with an agenda that speaks to the needs of the working class?” he asked.

Partly, this is because it has come at a time when Trump has made unprecedented efforts to intervene in the race. On Monday evening, Trump endorsed Andrew Cuomo, taking to social media to reiterate his threat that he would withhold federal funds from New York if Mamdani won.

“If Communist Candidate Zohran Mamdani wins the Election for Mayor of New York City, it is highly unlikely that I will be contributing Federal Funds, other than the very minimum as required, to my beloved first home, because of the fact that, as a Communist, this once great City has ZERO chance of success, or even survival!,” Donald Trump said on the social media platform Truth Social.

“I would much rather see a Democrat, who has had a Record of Success, WIN, than a Communist with no experience and a Record of COMPLETE AND TOTAL FAILURE,” he added

In addition to the threat of withholding funds, Trump has also floated the idea of deploying the National Guard (a domestic military reserve) to assist with immigration enforcement operations in New York city.

In his campaign, Mamdani had pledged to “Trump-proof” New York City with a plan to protect immigrant communities. His proposals include making New York the strongest sanctuary city in the country by ending all cooperation with Immigration and Customs Enforcement, removing ICE from city facilities, and investing $165 million in immigration legal services – a massive increase from current funding levels. He also plans to strengthen the city’s Law Department with 200 additional attorneys to fight Trump’s policies in court.

Mamdani’s victory raises urgent questions for Democrats heading into the 2026 midterm elections. If a candidate running on economic populism and direct opposition to Trump can win decisively in America’s largest city – despite being abandoned by party leaders and targeted by the president – what does that say about the party’s current strategy?

Establishment Democrats who have refused to endorse Mamdani’s campaign will be forced to reckon with a message that has appealed to Americans’ anger at inequality, soaring price rises and the establishment. The lessons they draw from this will influence next year’s midterm elections.

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