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ANGUS MORDANT
Natural gas futures saw a sharp rally on Tuesday — it was up 8.7 per cent and closed at ₹291.20 (per mmBtu). But prior to that, it has been on a decline. The contract faced a resistance at ₹325 and started to fall a week ago.
So, looking from a broader perspective, the upswing on Tuesday appears to be only a corrective one. Even if the contract moves up from the current level, it is less likely to go beyond the barrier at ₹300.
A fall, either from the current level of ₹287 or after an uptick to ₹300, can drag natural gas futures to ₹250, a support. A breach of this can intensify the sell-off. Notable support below ₹250 can be spotted at ₹220.
On the other hand, in case natural gas futures breaks out of ₹300, it can rise further to ₹325. The price band of ₹325-335 is a potential resistance. Only a clear breakout of ₹335 can turn the outlook bullish. Until then, the bears will have an upper hand.
Trade strategy
Short natural gas futures (May) at ₹287 and keep a stop-loss at ₹305. When the contract falls to ₹267, revise the stop-loss to ₹280. Book profits at ₹250.
Published on May 21, 2025
This article first appeared on The Hindu Business Line
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