Agnipath Protests: 3 Long Term Factors Explain Why Youth Are on the Warpath

COVID 19 Updates Agnipath Protests: 3 Long Term Factors Explain Why Youth Are on the Warpath

The last couple of years have also witnessed some sort of a decline in the NDA’s popularity among the youth. Remember this is a demographic that had propelled Prime Minister Narendra Modi to power in 2014 and again in 2019.

However, if we see the elections in the crucial Hindi belt states of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, there seems to be some fall in the NDA’s appeal among the youth.

In the 2020 Bihar Assembly elections in which the NDA secured a narrow victory, the alliance was actually trailing among younger voters.

In the 26-35 age group, 36 percent voted for the NDA and 47 percent for the Mahagathbandhan, a deficit of 11 points.

In comparison, the NDA had a 10 percentage point lead among those above 61 years of age and five points among those between 51-60 years.

To a great extent this was due to Tejashwi Yadav’s strong job plank in the elections.

In the 2022 Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections, the NDA performed poorest among the 18-25 age group. According to the Axis survey, it secured 41 percent votes among this age group compared to 40 percent of the SP-led Mahagathbandhan. On the other hand, it secured 50 percent and 54 percent in the 51-60 and 61 and above age group.

Traditionally non-NDA voting communities – Muslims, Yadavs and Jatavs – together would account for 30-35 percent of the electorate in these states. So even if one factors that in, it seems that a sizable chunk of youth outside these communities also voted against the NDA in these two states.

Therefore, it is clear that the electoral verdicts in both these states were against the will of a sizable chunk of the state’s population in the 18-25 age group.

It is possible that there is a perception among sections of the youth in these two states that the NDA manages to win with its vastly greater resources and the Opposition is ineffective, so there is no one to protect their interests.

Crime Today News | INDIA


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